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Sun Tzu famously said that battles are won or lost before they begin. The general UFT election is now one year away and currently there is NO organized group right now ready to take on Unity. That fact alone is bad enough. The other fact is that another coalition effort will probably face the same challenges it did last time. Add to that, MORE has turned off a lot of rank and file UFT members with their radical/world political agenda that has nothing to do with our working conditions. Unity can be beat but a hardcore force must start NOW.
With Lydia, the heart and soul of Solidarity, out of the DOE, we have heard little from them. I know they do have a council, but other than that, they have not had any imprint on the UFT.
That leaves New Action and MORE as the caucuses with active UFTers and Retiree Advocate as the remaining members. RA with its big win is now very influential and also reps the biggest block of people in the UFT.
A new game in town is the Fix Para Pay group that won seats overwhelmingly in the recent election. Paras represent a major block of 27k members in the UFT and a slate in next year's election must include them. If retirees and paras go oppo that is major and puts the 19 functional Ex Bd seats into play.
And there are new players emerging, though I'm not sure where that's going yet.
As for EONYC - the Daniel Alicea operation, he has joined New Action. But The Wire has great outreach and will be influential. Daniel is not limited by New Action in independent activities.
Still, I think relying on retirees to carry the day in forming an election slate is the wrong approach. But RA members must have a role but active UFT members must lead the way. But where will they come from? I would ask how many CL and Del to NA and MORE have after the recent chapter elections? I have no answers yet but those numbers would be a key to how much outreach an oppo would have in the schools. (Though in 2022 other than high schools I didn't see much growth in the elem and ms despite the CL in the caucuses.)
We'd need almost 800 to fill a slate next year. That won't happen without a broad appeal. (Some are saying don't worry about the AFT/NYSUT delegates - let Unity have them. I absolutely disagree. That would be like RA only running officers and letting Unity have the DA.
- Unity got slammed, losing votes in all divisions compared to the past.
- I
thought newbie UFCers who actually thought we would win would be
crushed - instead many were excited and already talking about 2025.
- UFC
didn't pick up what Unity dropped (except possibly in retirees and a
little bit in high schools), just about matching the 2016 oppo numbers.
Beware of those calling this a great victory. At this rate of growth I
will be 101 when the oppo wins in 2046.
- UFC gained from 2019
oppo disaster and restored a sense of an opposition, getting the most
votes the oppo has ever gotten, winning the high schools with 55% and
almost winning the middle schools with 44% and closing the gap in
elementary and winning 33% overall, the closest in a long time. Despite
the gains, UFC did not get out the vote as well as I expected. I began
the campaign thinking we could win all three teaching divisions. While
we did get 44% of the teacher vote, that is due mostly to Unity's
failure to bring out its vote, not due to UFC getting a big turnout -
matching 2016 is still status quo - as is winning the 7 HS Ex Bd as we
did in 2016. Let's say UFC could win in 2025 or 2028 -- with these
numbers? I'm not sure there is enough of a union underneath to deliver.
- Is spending enormous time and money flooding teacher mail boxes with lit - for both Unity and oppo - really worth it. Also - we thought social media would bring out votes -- it didn't. Few will agree with me on these points but I will continue to stand by them. The numbers prove it.
- Possibly
the biggest achievement of the 2022 election may be the very existence
of a United for Change broad coalition. While formed as a temporary
vehicle for this election, there are signs UFC will continue in some
form while giving each caucus space to develop. The 7 electeds represent
all the groups and the candidates have pledged to continue working
together. I love that they come from MORE, Solidarity, New Action, ICE -
but also they are broad-minded to see outside their own caucus. Preliminary meetings indicate excitement at working together.
Thousands of UFT members voted for UFC, not for any one caucus. I remind you of the 2019 disaster when 3 caucuses ran independently. So the rank and file want a coalition and are not happy with fragmentation. Caucuses should not get the idea it was them. It was the idea of a united opposition that got these vote.
So only some kind of coalition is necessary. But I do not trust the same process as took place in 2022 - behind closed door secret meetings where each group had veto power - an unworkable situation going forward.
France’s Left Has a New Star, and a Fresh Crisis
Marine Tondelier, leader of the Green Party, helped bring the left together to win France’s parliamentary elections. Now can she help keep it from falling apart?
“Our voters are screaming, ‘Do not betray us!’’’ Ms. Tondelier said in an interview last week in the modest headquarters of the Greens in the 10th District of Paris, an area once known principally for its two big train stations but which has, of late, acquired a hip reputation. “We have to be a government of combat, a government of action, of social justice,” she added. “It won’t be simple, easy, evident or comfortable, but we must make the effort.”the parties of the alliance — the Greens, the Socialist Party, the Communist Party and the far-left France Unbowed of Jean-Luc Mélenchon — squabble. They have deadlocked over nominations for prime minister, taken to reciprocal insults, broken their promise of unity and generally floundered.France Unbowed, whose pugnacious Mr. Mélenchon sees himself as the figurehead of the entire French left, has accused the Socialist Party of “vetoing any candidacy from the New Popular Front with the sole aim of imposing its own.” Olivier Faure, the Socialist leader, responded that he did not see “why the word of one should be imposed on all the others.”
All this has been too much for Ms. Tondelier, who by Wednesday was in an incandescent mood in an interview with the France 2 television network. “I am angry, disgusted and fed up,” she said. “And I feel desperate at the spectacle we are offering the French people.”
Every minute of the “ridiculous” internecine fights of the left only “won votes for the National Rally,” she said.
The left’s travails and divisions are nothing new. But for the seven million people who voted in the decisive second round of the election for the New Popular Front, the current disarray is dispiriting. Ten days ago, they danced in the streets. Their hopes were as varied as an improved minimum wage and protection for disappearing bird life in the French countryside.