Democratic Party elders are making plans.I loved this insight from Alex Pareene at New Republic. Hillary people can live with Warren but never Sanders. Obama people will do what they can to stop Warren - which he doesn't explain the reasons for but the bad blood from Obama abandoning her and her response still stings. And both camps have given up on Biden. (That there are even competing center camps and competing leftist camps in the Party bodes well for Trump.)
He explains why the Deval Patrick entry - combined with the Obama attack on the left - makes sense only in a certain context. He theorizes they want to hurt Warren in the New England states and also offer another Black alternative in Nevada and South Carolina to drain from Warren who is making some inroads now. Obama people aren't worried about Bernie because they don't take him seriously. Then he explains the Bloomberg entry too.
Both candidates have a hope in a brokered convention where no one can win on the first ballot. Last week I was at an event where Randi spoke and she said she played a major role in the rule that super delegates can't vote on the first round but then can -- so there is a strategy here --- aim for no one on first round and then broker who they want in round two or three.
Should be fun.
There’s Only One Way the Patrick and Bloomberg Campaigns Make Sense: Democratic Party elders are making plans.
By Alex Pareene
November 20, 2019
The following things are true:
To be very overly broad (I am, I am aware, describing the beliefs and motives of a large and diverse set of individuals), “Clinton World” detests Bernie Sanders, is largely on board with Kamala Harris, but has no real problem with Elizabeth Warren and would greet her nomination without much rancor.
“Obama World” doesn’t share this perspective. It doesn’t take Sanders seriously, and thinks of him—even with some affection—as a harmless crank. It, however, strongly dislikes Warren. I don’t want to say it would stop at nothing to prevent her from winning the nomination, but there are a lot of ancient tensions between the two camps that are far from settled.
In Clinton World, it seems obvious to continue to offer support to Kamala Harris, or to hope for Amy Klobuchar to surge, or perhaps get behind Warren. It would be smarter for anyone in the anybody-but-Sanders camp to throw in with Warren now, given the fact that the Harris and Klobuchar campaigns have entered a decaying orbit. But for many, those two senators still “make sense on paper,” so seemingly smart people are still convinced something might come of them.