Written and edited by Norm Scott: EDUCATE! ORGANIZE!! MOBILIZE!!! Three pillars of The Resistance – providing information on current ed issues, organizing activities around fighting for public education in NYC and beyond and exposing the motives behind the education deformers. We link up with bands of resisters. Nothing will change unless WE ALL GET INVOLVED IN THE STRUGGLE!
Saturday, June 4, 2022
UFT Election 2022 Results - Districts - How many voted
Thursday, June 2, 2022
Just like MulgrewCare - The Lever- Biden Hikes Medicare Prices And Funnels Profits to Private Insurers -$47M in campaign contributions buys a lot
Medicare’s sturdiness as an American institution is being steadily chipped away by well-connected corporate interests...
“[The] privatization effort is reaching a frantic state, and Medicare Advantage is going to fail,” said Bill Kadereit, president of the American Retirees Education Foundation, due to the fact that the plans must pay profits to investors, unlike traditional Medicare plans. “The industry is hoping to cover up that failure with taxpayer subsidies that none of the taxpayers understand.” “
Medicare Advantage insurers such as United Healthcare, Anthem, and CVS/Aetna are celebrating record profits in the tens of billions of dollars,” said Dr. Susan Rogers, president of Physicians for a National Healthcare Program. “Their business plan is simple: inflate their Medicare payments by making seniors look sicker than they are, and then pocket more of those Medicare dollars by ruthlessly denying seniors’ care.”
........The LeverThursday, June 2, 2022
[Post edit add on: Fred Klonsky - Will Biden's Medicare cost increases be the final nail sinking whatever chances the Democrats had in the midterms?Dumb, dumb, dumb.]
All Medicare recipients pay premiums for outpatient care, which is called Medicare Part B. That money can be funneled into traditional government Medicare plans, or into Medicare Advantage plans run by private insurers that are incentivized to limit the amount of care that elders receive. The standard Part B premium for Medicare patients is now $170.10 per month — up 14.5 percent from last year, when it was $148.50.
Union leaders take us down a slippery slope when they stand against a universal public health system.
- Biden officials move forward with a jolting 8.5 percent hike in payments made to private insurers under Medicare Advantage plans next year.
- The juxtaposition between dramatically increasing payments to private insurance plans that provide less care for higher costs on the one hand, and keeping seniors’ premiums artificially inflated on the other
- Biden has expanded Medicare privatization by launching the involuntary ACO REACH program and through continuing to promote ever-increasing Medicare Advantage enrollment, and he has also raised premiums for Medicare recipients.
- So
who benefits from the explosive rate increase? The major private
insurance companies that funneled nearly $50 million into Biden’s 2020
presidential campaign.
The UFT ideology lines up with the neo-liberal corporate branch of the Dem party which opposes any Medicare for all system which would reduce costs and provide better service - just imagine the savings in admin costs that would go to patient care.
You know, there comes a point where you wonder. If $50 million in campaign contributions from private insurance can buy the Dem Party, what do they do to buy the UFT and other unions?
Agreed it’s an important issue. My biggest concern with unions is that most of them (particularly ours) have horse-traded higher salaries for healthcare for decades and are thus resistant to single-payer in the first place. On top of this, there’s enough opposition to single-payer tax hikes already (e.g. https ….freopp.org / how-new-yorks-single-payer-health-care-bill-affects-the-working-poor-2e242921bbb9). I can’t see UFT — entangled as it is already with the EmblemHealth HMO to the degree that it is — putting even a single toe in the water to work through the details of a viable NYHA.
Here are the key provisions of the NY Health Act:
- $5104.1. [The program provides coverage for anything covered by Medicare, Medicaid, Child Health Plus, the state’s public employee program, or any public employee program in the state.]
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- 2. No member shall be required to pay any premium, deductible, co-payment or co-insurance under the program.
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- 4.c. Prescription drugs eligible for reimbursement under this article and dispensed by a pharmacy shall be provided and paid for under the preferred drug program and the clinical drug review program.
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- 5. The program shall not require prior authorization for any health care service in any manner more restrictive of access to or payment for the service than would be required for the service under Medicare Part A or Part B.
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- The fact that funds from the federal government arrive through the MA program doesn't affect these requirements at all.
Biden Hikes Medicare Prices And Funnels Profits to Private Insurers
Wednesday, June 1, 2022
Right and Segments of the Left Unite on Ukraine - From different directions - WARNING: This Post is a long and winding road
Before I even get into this issue, what pisses me off the most is how easy it is to keep spending billions on the war without a peep about pay fors from Dems and Republicans. Like where is Manchin, who strenuously objected to Medicare paying for my teeth, eyes and ears. Like we can't have Medicare for all because we can't pay for it but we can pay for endless arms to Ukraine.
Also - if you want to hear a rational discussion on Ukraine, check out the May 31 edition of Breaking Points where Krystal and Saagar get down to issues you never hear in mainstream media. They point out how easy it would be for the missiles we give Ukraine to find themselves landing on Russian territory. Don't forget the nukes. That Ukraine has a motive to keep us outraged and engaged. Must see on you tube: https://youtu.be/kfCMBF_72y0. And in this segment they talk about the possibility Putin has a terminal illness: https://youtu.be/f3FDlhJZegU
So here is an interchange I had after posting a Tiabbi comment on ICE list:
Matt Tiabbi: Putin the Apostate: We thought he would be our bastard. Then, he became his own bastard. Feb 28 ---
Response: Wow hard to read anything from Matt (Taibbi) after he laughed and dismissed an invasion into Russia. Sorry to knock down your hero there norm, but Matt and greenwald are the darlings of the right for a reason ....
This is a quandary when you see the outrage of the invasion. As you will see below, the right wing Putinists and Orbanists have no compunction about saying let it be. Isolationists from the same strain that opposed our entering the war against Hitler.
The left is more complicated. Remember, the Stalinists opposed our entering the war from the Soviet/Germany non-aggression pact of 1939 until Germany invaded them in June 1941, then suddenly switched gears. This was the major hit the Communist Party USA took -- exposing clearly how they functioned as agents of Stalin.
Here is a must listen historical frame of reference where artist Edwin Sorel recalls how his parents were Stalinists to the end -- True Believers.
Brian Lehrer interview with artist Edwin Sorel:https://www.wnyc.org/story/new-york-illustrators-personaland-politicallife/
The reality is that if Ukraine ceded some territory, the war may end. The argument that Putin will keep taking is not crazy but without an open war with Russia - as we seem to be heading there -- that is the only choice. And let me point out that the entire Dem party is now the war party - while there is a Trump wing of the Republican party that is against us giving support.
Could the CIA have institured a coup in 2014 in Ukraine? I'm shocked. How about this one just revealed in the NYT great series on Haitian history:
It was Feb. 29, 2004, Before dawn, Luis Moreno, a senior American diplomat, had driven through the large gate of the president’s walled compound and climbed the steps to the front door, accompanied by security officers from the State Department. Mr. Moreno had helped Mr. Aristide return to Haiti after the military ousted him a decade earlier. Now, the opposite was happening: Mr. Moreno greeted the president — and asked for his resignation letter. Minutes later, Mr. Aristide and his wife were taken to the airport, where an American-chartered plane flew them into exile. France’s ambassador to Haiti at the time, Thierry Burkard, said in an interview that France and the United States had effectively orchestrated “a coup” against Mr. Aristide, and that his abrupt removal was “probably a bit about” his call for reparations from France, too. “It made our job easier” to dismiss the reparations claims without Mr. Aristide in office, Mr. Burkard noted. “The threats were clear and direct: ‘Either you resign, or you can be shot!’” Mr. Aristide later said of the meeting. advising him to leave office to avoid a fate like Salvador Allende’s, the Chilean president who died in 1973 as his presidential palace was overrun by the military. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/20/world/americas/haiti-aristide-reparations-france.htmlThis was only 18 years ago. How many coups can you count that we fomented? If using fingers, you need to take your shoes off. Here are a few posts from my lefty friends.
Here are recent posts from my left pals:
In February, BLM and "In This House We Believe (in everything but a rising minimum wage)" lawn signs were immediately replaced by "We Stand With Ukraine (and the Azov Battalion)" signs... which is probably just as well, since Patrice Cullours is likely to be indicted in the coming months... Advertising their moral vanity is one thing that liberals excel at...
"Funding the Ukraine proxy war, Sanders and the Squad abandon progressives and peace" Aaron Mate
American progressives join the War Party
Some leftist commentators can barely conceal their enthusiasm for American involvement in the Ukraine war by James CardenUS representative Alexandra Ocasia-Cortez is among the Democratic Party members to vote in favor of a Republican sponsored Ukraine war bill. Image:
Wednesday, May 25, 2022
A Message from Andy: Is NYSUT Protecting MulgrewCare under the disguise of protecing our healthcare
I saw this from Jonathan Halabi and reprinting as an early warning sign. UFT union leaders want to use our healthcare for their own political machinations which is why they oppose medicare for all. Jon issues a wait and watch signal:
Protect our health care?
May 24, 2022 pm31 11:19 pmI like emails that open with “Protect our health care.” Retirees have recently engaged in a massive struggle to protect their health care – all of our future health care. They fought against New York City, the Municipal Labor Coalition, predatory insurance companies, and Michael Mulgrew.
So I liked this morning’s email from NYSUT
But NYSUT? Andy Pallotta? Works with Mulgrew and the UFT? What do they mean by “Protecting Retiree Health Insurance?
Well, the note says
“a recent court decision potentially limits unions’ ability to protect access to health care for retired public employees across the state.”
Now, if he is referring to the recent decision that made it harder for Mulgrew to force retirees off of Medicare… But is he?
Is there another case that NYSUT is asking us to lobby to fix? Or is NYSUT asking us to lobby on behalf of the MLC, the insurance companies, and Michael Mulgrew?
Protecting Retiree Health Insurance
Unions have — for decades — fought for retiree health coverage in our courts. However, a recent court decision potentially limits unions’ ability to protect access to health care for retired public employees across the state. Our retirees need a legislative fix.
We’re simply asking for the return of the same level playing field that existed prior to this court ruling. Both unions and employers must retain their right to argue their positions around a retiree health care dispute before a court. Our state legislators can guarantee this right and reduce the risk of unnecessary disputes over retiree health insurance benefits. Everyone wins.
Our retirees depend on unions’ ability to fight for them in court. Protecting retirees means protecting this ability.
Take action now!
In solidarity,
I am suspicious – but I do not know. This could be unrelated to our struggle to protect Medicare from Mulgrew.
Can we dig up some details?
Monday, May 23, 2022
Christina Vs The Unity Caucus Machine - At May 23 UFT Ex Bd
See Nick Bacon Ex Bd minutes:
Two false allegations were presented against Christina as formal
election complaints to the UFT Executive Board.“UFC (United for Change) used a UFT email group to engage in campaign activity. FALSE - This is not a UFT email group but a group created by Christina herself.
On March 25th, District 7 Representative William (Bill) Woodruff verbally assaulted Christina at a location called Bar 47, which was open to the general public and 75 UFT members were also present. Several other members of Unity caucus also screamed at Christina and called her names, because she was offering UFC fliers to members present. There is an audio of the exchanges.
Christina Gavin has asked for time tonight to reply to the false charges. I spoke at the last Ex bd meeting and touched on some of these issues but was surprised to hear her name brought up without offering her an opportunity to be there to respond. Exec Bd meetings are supposed to be open to all UFT members and even if meetings are on zoom the link should be available to all.Monday, May 23, 2022
People ask me why at my age I continue to be involved in UFT events. While the goal of chopping into Unity Caucus control of the UFT is always present, as important to me is meeting people like Christina Gavin, who I never would come in contact under ordinary circumstances.
Christina has been one of the lights of this year's UFT election campaign. She is gutsy and fearless and a quick study (she didn't get involved on the election until mid-February as petitions were winding up).
I hear a lot of people talk about militancy - often they are keyboard militants. Christina is truly militant in action. If more oppo people were like her, we'd be ahead of the game.Along the way she began to compile complaints about how UFT employees were misusing their time to campaign. In Unity circles this is a no-no and requires retaliation. So they went after Christina in the most nefarious ways.
Before we get into the details of her particular dispute with UFT district rep Bill Woodruff, I think the most outrageous actions against Christina were attempts tby union officials to retaliate for her calling out UFT employees who are being paid by OUR dues by claiming she was doing the same on DOE time. That's not the purview of a union that supposedly represents her.
A most egregious phone call was made to her one Friday afternoon (on school time) by Leroy Barr and UFT lawyer Beth Norton - of course she couldn't talk to them - she was working. But she called them back after school and was shocked to find herself being questioned about what she does during the school day. Like "when is your lunch hour?" NOT THEIR BUSINESS! At times Beth Norton has screamed at
Christina who can be like a gnat. And a bulldozer. I love gnats and bulldozers who challenge the power structure of the UFT. (I observed at the vote count - don't think Unity operatives aren't buzzing around to try to wean her away from the oppo as they have with others - they do recognize talent and threats.)
But as you will see below, the retaliation escalated when Christina dared cross the threshold of a barely disguised Bronx District 7 Unity election event billed as a social party. Yeah, this had nothing to do with the election.
Let me say right here how proud I am she had no qualms about going there and counter lobbying for United for Change in the midst of a hostile environment that soon turned toxic with Bill Woodruff screaming at her.
Where have we seen UFT guys vilifying a black woman before?
- New Action – UFT Unpacking the February DA - The February DA was a farce, but not for the reasons our leadership would have you think. United for change has a problem: we haven’t been called on durin...
And
- ICEUFT Blog UNITY ATTACKING CAMILLE'S UNION RESUME AS THIN SHOWS THEY CAN'T EVEN DO OPPOSITION RESEARCH HONESTLY -
Let's get to the details regarding the retaliatory complainst filed against Christina.
On April 11th, Mr. LeRoy Barr, the UFT Secretary, read the following statement:“UFC (United for Change) used a UFT email group to engage in campaign activity. Ms. (Amy) Mathis has provided evidence that Christina Gavin used a UFT Google Group, UFT Librarians, to seek assistance with campaign activities, specifically Ms. Gavin sought referrals for inexpensive copying for UFC fliers. The use of this group is an improper use of union resources, namely an email distribution list, and, therefore, the allegation should be upheld, and Ms. Gavin should be instructed to cease and desist this activity.”The Google Group in question is the one that Christina created in September 2020 and which she has maintained since then. It is not a union resource; it does not belong to the union; no union employees have access to the Google Group.
.On March 25th, District 7 Representative William (Bill) Woodruff verbally assaulted Christina at a location called Bar 47, which was open to the general public and 75 UFT members were also present. Several other members of Unity caucus also screamed at Christina and called her names, because she was offering UFC fliers to members present.Following their reprehensible behavior, Mr. Woodruff gave a “sincere” apology to Christina, which lasted 57 minutes & which she recorded, eventually with both his knowledge and consent.
- Two days later - March 27th, Mr. Woodruff filed an entirely false complaint against Christina, contradicting everything that he had said in his recorded apology.
- One day after that - March 28th, Christina filed a truthful report of Mr. Woodruff’s bad behavior and election complaints related to distribution of campaign literature.
- Three days later - March 31st, Ms. Lopez, one of the Unity caucus members who had been yelling at Christina and calling her names in front of other union members & members of the general public, filed yet another wholly false complaint against Christina.
Christina was never apprised of any of the allegations against her and was not invited to attend the May 9th Executive Board meeting where the complaint was addressed.On May 9th at that Ex Bd meeting, Mr. Barr read the attached report accusing Christina of behaving in an “aggressive and harassing manner.” I was there and can attest that this is untrue.Mr. Woodruff also said as much repeatedly:http://bit.ly/innapropriatebillwoodruffaudio ^ These are the same audio; one contains a read-along transcriptSee Nick Bacon's report of the Ex bd meeting:
UFT Executive Board Minutes 5-9-2022: Election Complaints, PERB, and APPR
Friday, May 20, 2022
Chicago Union Election Today - 3 Caucuses Battle it out - Is CORE in Trouble due to a split?
A CORE defeat will have major labor shock waves throughout the national teacher movement and the labor movement in general. A darling of the left losing an election would be MAJOR. I don't expect that to happen, but a run-off is possible of they don't get 50% running against two opposing caucuses, one from the left and one from the right.
Friday, May 20, 2022
With our own UFT elections over, it is tome to turn to another major union election. Today, Chicago teachers vote for union leadership. Based on the past, I assume voting will be in the schools and will have large turnout - especially when compared to the UFT. Retirees don't vote in Chicago.
Coverage here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?fbclid=IwAR1SEgoa6FL97e-e1WcuRKrzain6AcSAIdE9-sLQXHAiyRATy9AXUxfNXSU&v=GlyBQS4L2QA&feature=youtu.be
Union elections turn interesting when the ruling caucus undergoes a split. CORE, which has run the CTU since its election in 2010, has suffered two defections.
Members First split for the last election in 2019 and I believe got about a third of the vote -- this was viewed as a split from the right end of CORE: Chicago Teachers Union CORE Caucus challenged by Members First - Election May 17 - Substance
The most recent split comes from the left: Real Caucus has a number of prominent former CORE members. https://www.realcaucus.com/. I found many people I knew in CORE running with REAL.
CORE has been the leading light for left progressive unionism around the nation and inspired the founding of caucuses to challenge incumbent center/right teacher union leadership, like the Unity Caucus here in NYC.
In fact it was the 2010 CORE victory that was instrumental for us here in NYC to transform the non-caucus Grassroots Education Movement (GEM) to become a founding organization of MORE (which also underwent a split in 2018 but has come back strong) whose very name emerged out of CORE.
The original CORE victory was made possible by a split in the then ruling Unity like caucus in Chicago and CORE only got 32% of the vote in the first round with 5 caucuses running. The ruling caucus got 34% but in round two CORE consolidated the support of the other caucuses and won overwhelmingly - classroom teachers going into the boardroom.
My old pal, the late George Schmidt, with his Substance newspaper played a big role in that victory. Yet within a few years, people in CORE tried to purge him over his criticisms of the leadership. Did they become a version of Unity Caucus? That attempt failed but some damage was done.
The Great George Schmidt is Gone
The architect of the CORE caucus and victory was Jackson Potter, a man I met a number of times and liked very much. He left his job at CTU to go back into the classroom, but has considerable political influence in the CTU.
[NOTE - Potter was elected VP - so I guess back out of the classroom.]
The current president, Jesse Sharkey, is also leaving to go back to the classroom, leaving the union in the hands of Stacey Gates, who I believe was brought in by the late, great Karen Lewis. Her death has broken a unifying force in the union. If I remember correctly, George Schnidt was not a fan and at the 2010 AFT convention, a few weeks after CORE took power, I went to a CORE party and Karen introduced Gates as a major assistant. George made a comment along the lines of - not a real teacher.
I expect CORE - without really having inside info - but based on instinct - to win. But will they get over 50% to avoid a runoff? If REAL gets into a runoff with them, things might get dicey.
You can find coverage of the CTU - very anti leadership - at George's still running site: http://www.substancenews.net/
And here are some old articles by Mike Antonucci at the anti-union web site this past February.
Analysis: The Chicago Teachers Union Election Isn’t Until May. But Already, It’s Hip-Deep in Drama
You rarely find news about union elections in the mainstream press. This is understandable, since few elections are contested or in any doubt. Public interest is also low, because it is usually difficult to make the case that a change in officers will lead to a change in the union’s relations with the school district, lawmakers and the citizenry.
Chicago, however, is different.
For decades now, the Chicago Teachers Union has found it easy to make headlines. Its officers are political players on par with the city’s mayor and are often rumored to be mayoral hopefuls. Unlike most teachers unions, CTU has a robust history of internal opposition caucuses that have successfully challenged incumbents for leadership positions.
The latest attempt is by Members First Chicago and its presidential candidate, Mary Esposito-Usterbowski. Jesse Sharkey, the incumbent president, is not running for re-election. Vice President Stacy Davis Gates is seeking the top post.
Members First thinks the strikes of 2019 and 2022 have harmed the union more than they have helped and seem to want a more productive relationship with the mayor and the district. The incumbent Caucus of Rank and File Educators (CORE) counters by pointing to its record of pay raises, class size limits and COVID safety protections.
The all-member election, set for May 20, is already hip-deep in drama. The latest chapter concerns a social media campaign supporting Members First. It is run by Lisa Schneider Fabes, a school board member in Wilmette, a town 14 miles north of Chicago. She oversaw Mayor Lori Lightfoot’s transition team in 2019.
Everyone involved denies any current connection among Schneider Fabes, the mayor and/or Members First. CORE sees it differently. A CTU member discovered the role of Schneider Fabes and the union tipped off the Chicago Sun-Times, which ran a lengthy story on it. CORE called the outside campaign an “obvious and craven attack on our internal democracy.”
The perception that forces allied with the mayor are supporting Members First make it difficult for the caucus to claim it is for, well, members first. Unfortunately for CORE, it has a few problems of its own.
For one, the union reported to its house of delegates that it was running a $3.5 million budget deficit. And Substance News, which has been covering internal conditions at CTU for 30 years, reported this week that CORE has fractured.
A new caucus of former CORE members was just formed and evidently will be running candidates in May. Called the REAL Caucus, its platform-in-progress states that “the current leadership has lost touch with the difficulties that educators face in our schools.”
Katie Osgood, one of the founding members of REAL, posted on Twitter that “the reason many of us have broken from CORE is we see how business unionism & union bureaucracy have crept into CORE’s leadership style. We are trying to propose an alternative that gets us back on the path of REAL rank & file unionism.”
REAL also noted, “We are not here to play spoiler in this election. We are here to win! CTU rules state that if nobody gets 50% of the vote, there is a runoff so the winner has to get more than half the union’s support regardless.”
This is a crucial point, since CORE owes its initial accession to power to the runoff rule. In 2010, four opposition caucuses challenged incumbent President Marilyn Stewart and her United Progressive Caucus. Stewart eked out a win in the first round with 32.3 percent of the vote, but Karen Lewis and CORE were able to unite the opposition in the runoff, which Lewis won easily.
It’s impossible to gauge the overall strength of the opposition in this election, never mind the relative strength of the opposition caucuses to each other, so who can tell if this will lead to a close race?
Regardless of what outsiders think of the Chicago Teachers Union, members should be heartened that they at least get to choose among differing visions for its direction, and have a realistic opportunity to discard one in favor of another. Too many teachers union members never get that chance.
And another one from his site from January:
https://www.eiaonline.com/intercepts/2022/01/21/why-the-chicago-strike-collapsed/
Why the Chicago Strike Collapsed
Hat tip to Alexander Russo for pointing us to this interview with Chicago teacher Hala Karim in Left Voice.
Read the whole thing, but here are a few points of interest:
* “I can’t name one teacher who disagreed with the vote when it was passed!”
* “I know of at least a couple schools where many staff members had returned by the second day.”
* “So, people want to know, what the hell happened? Well, for one, way too many people were walking through those school doors. As I was looking for parking during the teachout, I noticed that our school parking lot was at least half full. Our union members were going in. Some people stopped responding to our chat after the first day. They needed their paycheck, or they didn’t want to ruffle feathers, whatever their reason, they turned their back on us. This was happening everywhere. Since this wasn’t an official strike, people did not see the problem with going in. The problem is it completely undermined our action! Our leverage decreased with the growing amount of people who went in.”
* “I consider this agreement to be a huge embarrassment for the union. I can’t name a single colleague or friend who voted for it. I believe it is going to be a big struggle to bring our members in for our next action, knowing how played we all felt.”
I assume the union resisted calling their work stoppage a “strike” for legal reasons, but it appears to have backfired. And it’s hard to call something a lockout if a bunch of your members are showing up at school and teaching for pay.
Chicago is an outlier in many ways, but this month’s events proved once again that a union can’t run a major job action on the fly. You have to prep the membership, and a late night online vote the night before won’t cut it.
Thursday, May 19, 2022
UFT Elections 2022 - Norm takes a deep dive into #UFTelections2022
- Unity got slammed, losing votes in all divisions compared to the past.
- I thought newbie UFCers who actually thought we would win would be crushed - instead many were excited and already talking about 2025.
- UFC didn't pick up what Unity dropped (except possibly in retirees and a little bit in high schools), just about matching the 2016 oppo numbers. Beware of those calling this a great victory. At this rate of growth I will be 121 when the oppo wins in 2046.
- UFC gained from 2019 oppo disaster and restored a sense of an opposition, getting the most votes the oppo has ever gotten, winning the high schools with 55% and almost winning the middle schools with 44% and closing the gap in elementary and winning 33% overall, the closest in a long time. Despite the gains, UFC did not get out the vote as well as I expected. I began the campaign thinking we could win all three teaching divisions. While we did get 44% of the teacher vote, that is due mostly to Unity's failure to bring out its vote, not due to UFC getting a big turnout - matching 2016 is still status quo - as iw winning the 7 HS Ex Bd as we did in 2016. Let's say UFC could win in 2025 or 2028 -- with these numbers? I'm not sure there is enough of a union underneath to deliver.
- Possibly the biggest achievement of the 2022 election may be the very existence of a United for Change broad coalition. While formed as a temporary vehicle for this election, there are signs UFC will continue in some form while giving each caucus space to develop. The 7 electeds represent all the groups and the candidates have pledged to continue working together. I love that they come from MORE, Solidarity, New Action, ICE - but also they are broad-minded to see outside their own caucus. Preliminaty meetings indicate excitement at working together.
- Is spending enormous time and money flooding teacher mail boxes with lit - for both Unity and oppo - really worth it. Also - we thought social media would bring out votes -- it didn't. Few will agree with me on these points but I will continue to stand by them. The numbers prove it.
- Read my pre-election comments posted July 2021: https://ednotesonline.blogspot.com/2021/07/uft-elections-part1-historical-analysis.html
Thursday, May 19, 2022
UFT Election Turnout: Some Observations May 15, 2022
UFT Election Turnout: Four Charts May 15, 2022
Analyzing UFT Election Results: My Data May 14, 2022
Then there are the numbers of people who wanted to vote and didn't get ballots plus the number of late ballots that came in. See below at the end of this article for an example from a guy who wanted to vote UFC.
Below are his charts for functional, retiree, elem, ms and hs, with numbers going back to 2004. You have to be UFT election freaks like us to dig into these numbers.
Let's go division by division. I suggest some reforms along the way.
Elementary - UFC had a shot but it was long
I began the campaign thinking we could win this even though the gap from 2016 was massive --5K vote difference. Unity got 7K and we got 2.5k in 2016. I was hoping Unity would look like 2013 with 5K and we could double our 2016 with a strong campaign.
It didn't happen and we missed a big opportunity as Unity dropped under 5k and we didn't even match 2016. I thought UFC had more outreach in elementary but if we did the GOTV didn't work. I got indications early on with the lack of contention in UFC by the caucuses for Elem Ex bd positions that there was not a sense of winning and when we struggled with petitions early on in that division, I pretty much gave up on winning this division.
34K elem ballots were sent out -- a lot of places to mine in the future. The oppos has a lot of work to do in elementary school. My suggestion: Choose a few key districts where UFC people have decent elem numbers and expand their networks with a local outreach program. Otherwise 2025 will be the same.
Middle school - Close but no cigar - Unity failure, but UFC makes no progress
We have election violations complaints but not enough to claim we lost due to those. I know there were schools where we could have/should have flushed out enough votes to win.
We thought we could win this and aimed our leafleting campaign at middle schools and literally got nothing more than we got in 2016. We barely cracked 900 votes in the entire MS division which has almost 11K. Unity totals were also abysmal --1200. We had 4 great Ex Bd candidates and it is a real shame we couldn't come up with 300 votes. I hear the biggest celebration inside Unity was that Daniel Alicea would not be on the Ex Bd -- after having voted for Unity in 2019, he became a leader of UFC and some in Unity seem to despise deserters. Unity isn't happy with HS winner Nick Bacon, still technically an elected Unity from 2019.
High Schools -- 55% for UFC waa big - I was hoping for 60%.
Ok - I'm a tough grader. Unity got slammed - under 2K - and they really wanted to win this one and there was great disappointment inside the fortress because HSVP Janelle Hinds is popular and people see this as a defeat for her personally.
Remember, her opponent Jonathan Halabi got 600 more HS votes than she did and pre-1994 he would be on the adcom - as her 2016 opponent James Eterno who got more HS votes than her would have been hten. (Unity changed the rules after Shulman won in 1985 to at large.)
Considered in the running as a Mulgrew successor, her fans at 52 and beyond were supposedly devastated by this loss. What were they thinking? Unity has fundamentally lost the high schools for almost 4 decades. If we had lost this time, UFC would have very little future.
I'm adding this point to original post: Unity recruited candidates for HS seats with intention of winning: they chose big school CL or former CLs. They were turned down by some people they asked. Jonathan and I estimated they would bring in some votes. They didn't. Does that reflect Unity failure? Did their own schools come out for them but few others? Or did their own colleagues reject Unity?
Still -- over 21k high school ballots mailed, we have loads of people in the HS and we end up with 2500 votes? We won but UFC people shouldn't risk dislocating their shoulders by too much patting themselves on the backs. Instead, figure out how to get 3-4K in future elections for HS to make up shorfalls in other divisions for a real shot at winning it all.
A major satisfaction is the election of Nick Bacon who ran with Unity and won for AFT in 2019. He was recruited by his Dist Rep. Imagine the egg on face. Unity seems to hate Nick almost as much as Daniel Alicea. Both of them were keys to bringing UFC together. While we see a number of former oppo people on the UFT Ex Bd with Unity, we now have our own reverse example in Nick -- maybe the first time we've seem an ex bd person go from Unity to oppo.
More from Jonathan
UFT Election Turnout: Four Charts
Let’s dive into the UFT election results. Let’s start with turnout. (For the beginning of the analysis, click here)
Votes Cast tells us more than Turnout Percentage
UFT Election Turnout: Some Observations
Saturday, May 14, 2022
TODAY - Meet UFC Winning HS Candidates Plus Halabi (Who pre-1994 would have won the HS VP) - #TalkOutofSchool 1PM- @WBAI 99.5 FM
Daniel Alicea, who missed by a hair of being elected to the UFT Ex Bd, interviews the HS winning candidates, along with Jon Halabi who got the most votes for HS VP from high school teachers by a wide margin but will not be on AdCom due to a Unity change in the constitution in 1994 that made that position at-large - a response to the Michael Shulman win in the 1985 election - which Unity protested and lost even worse in the second round.
A major reform of the UFT would be re-instituting the ability of each division to elect its own VP. The "winner", Janella Hinds, also finished second to James Eterno in the 2016 election. Imagine having UFT giants like James and Jon on the leadership board? Yes, only one of 12 people but right now the 15K people who voted for UFC which got 42% of the teacher vote, have zero representation on the AdCom and only 7% of the Ex Bd. #UFTDemocracyInAction
Ibeth Mejia, CL of Aviation HS, comes to activism through her connection to James Eterno, who was exiled to her old school when Jamaica HS closed. James became a mentor to her and Luli Rodriguez who ran for UFT Treasurer. Ibeth transferred to Aviation and ran against I believe a Unity person and won. I've never met her in person, but from everything I know is a force. And during the campaign she and Lydia have developed a good working relationship. Ibeth is affiliated with both ICE and Solidarity.
Alex Jallot, UFT Chapter Leader at Pace High School, is also from MORE and I've had only a few contacts with him but was super impressed with his interview with my fave podcaster, Noah, did a great interview with Alex: https://www.listennotes.com/search/?ocid=724915fa1f4c4efc9d27e6585a542319&q=alex+jallot. I'm looking forward to seeing him on the Ex Bd.
Yes for diversity of opinion.
Here is Daniel's announcement (and regrets that he and Yvonne Reason, Olivia Swisher and Kevin Prosen missed joing the Magnificent 7 on the board.
Join me, Saturday, May 14, at 1 pm for #TalkOutofSchool on @WBAI 99.5 FM for my chat with Jonathan Halabi, the longest-serving HS chapter leader, who will share his expert analysis of the 2022 UFT election.Also my interviews with the newly elected High School division teachers for UFT Executive Board.They’ll share their vision for our city's teacher's union and city schools.You can also tune in online at: http://wbai.org